FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

69.1 – 39.8

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

134 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 61.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 265 ±12.4

7210RoboJackets 7210

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 3.77Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 34.42Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5697Bearcats

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 30.91Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 267 ±11

9650Mio Thunderbotz

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX -0.99Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4422Twisted Angels

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 24.76Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3767TC Titans

Season APEX 116.7Event APEX 16.03Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7210, 8873, 5697

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7210, 8873, 5697

Auto

21.3 33%

Teleop

24.9 38%

Endgame

18.5 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9650, 4422, 3767

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9650, 4422, 3767

Auto

8.1 20%

Teleop

25.0 62%

Endgame

7.0 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.1pts

Blue projected score39.8pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 29.3
Score range: 26–83
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 232 vs event baseline 76.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

265Season APEX267

21.3Auto8.1

24.9Teleop25

18.5Endgame7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	27
teleop	63	57
endgame	50	14
foul	0	0
total	134	98

Result

Final score

134 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 61.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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