FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

101.1 – 53.02

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

193 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 92.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 384.8 ±12.4

9594Ashley Bears

Season APEX 66.1Event APEX 23.91Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 87.48Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6533BeaverTech noducks

Season APEX 45Event APEX -10.29Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 284.2 ±12.1

5436Cyber Cats

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 20.89Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9773Cardinal Robotics

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 19.67Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7195Twin River Robotics

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 12.46Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9594, 7166, 6533

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9594, 7166, 6533

Auto

26.6 27%

Teleop

49.5 49%

Endgame

24.1 24%

Strengths

· 7166 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5436, 9773, 7195

/ 100 compat

Projected

53 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5436, 9773, 7195

Auto

7.6 14%

Teleop

34.3 65%

Endgame

10.6 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.68 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score101.1pts

Blue projected score53pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 48.1
Score range: 40–114
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 339 vs event baseline 70.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

384.8Season APEX284.2

26.6Auto7.6

49.5Teleop34.3

24.1Endgame10.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	30
teleop	94	63
endgame	55	53
foul	0	0
total	193	146

Result

Final score

193 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 92.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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