Qualification · Qualification 15
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
30.23 – 6.88
57%43%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
85 – 35
Prediction correct · off by 41.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 251.8 ±11
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 17.67Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 1.25Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 11.31Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 190.6 ±12.8
Season APEX 63.8Event APEX -7.48Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 19.09Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 30.9Event APEX -4.73Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6100, 1711, 10978
46
/ 100 compatProjected
30.2 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 6100, 1711, 10978
Auto
7.5 27%
Teleop
12.1 43%
Endgame
8.7 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9755, 5982, 6071
11
/ 100 compatProjected
6.9 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9755, 5982, 6071
Auto
7.2 100%
Teleop
-5.7 0%
Endgame
3.7 71%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.14
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score30.2pts
Blue projected score6.9pts
Red win probability57%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 28%, blue 24%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 23.4
- Score range
- -6–43
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
251.8Season APEX190.6
7.5Auto7.2
12.1Teleop-5.7
8.7Endgame3.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 11 |
| teleop | 47 | 7 |
| endgame | 20 | 17 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 85 | 35 |
Result
Final score
85 – 35
Prediction correct · off by 41.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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