FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

52.78 – 41.28

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

146 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 70 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 230.8 ±11

4381Twisted Devils

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 22.66Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3655Tractor Technicians

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 13.61Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3688Norsemen

Season APEX 84Event APEX 16.51Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381.8 ±11.7

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 38.29Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9568AstroBots

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX -11.73Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9673Volt Vespids

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 14.72Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4381, 3655, 3688

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4381, 3655, 3688

Auto

17.9 34%

Teleop

21.8 41%

Endgame

13.5 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2337, 9568, 9673

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2337, 9568, 9673

Auto

8.7 24%

Teleop

21.3 60%

Endgame

5.6 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score52.8pts

Blue projected score41.3pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 11.5
Score range: 29–65
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 234 vs event baseline 67.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

230.8Season APEX381.8

17.9Auto8.7

21.8Teleop21.3

13.5Endgame5.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	15
teleop	89	62
endgame	29	11
foul	0	0
total	146	88

Result

Final score

146 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 70 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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