FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.25 – 62.93

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

148 – 57

Prediction missed · off by 49.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 325.8 ±11.7

5697Bearcats

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 5.05Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

573Mech Warriors

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 50.29Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9661Huskie STEAM

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX -1.09Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 269.7 ±11.7

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 50.29Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5235Gears of Fortune

Season APEX 56.9Event APEX 7.53Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10613AEA Alterbots

Season APEX 41Event APEX 5.11Rank 40Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5697, 573, 9661

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5697, 573, 9661

Auto

10.9 22%

Teleop

26.3 53%

Endgame

12.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8873, 5235, 10613

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8873, 5235, 10613

Auto

8.9 15%

Teleop

40.0 68%

Endgame

9.7 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score54.2pts

Blue projected score62.9pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -8.7
Score range: 42–75
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 205 vs event baseline 64.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

325.8Season APEX269.7

10.9Auto8.9

26.3Teleop40

12.7Endgame9.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	10
teleop	78	25
endgame	39	22
foul	0	0
total	148	57

Result

Final score

148 – 57

Prediction missed · off by 49.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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