FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

29.65 – 89.07

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

4 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 41.8 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 192.4 ±12.8

9568AstroBots

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 10Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5162The Big Red Theory

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 3.55Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10978Complete Robotics

Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 16.1Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 377 ±12.4

7109Clare Chaos Theory

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 14.29Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 61.35Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7210RoboJackets 7210

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 13.43Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9568, 5162, 10978

/ 100 compat

Projected

29.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9568, 5162, 10978

Auto

5.1 17%

Teleop

15.1 52%

Endgame

9.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7109, 7166, 7210

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7109, 7166, 7210

Auto

19.4 22%

Teleop

46.1 52%

Endgame

23.5 26%

Strengths

· 7166 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score29.7pts

Blue projected score89.1pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -59.4
Score range: 19–100
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 151 vs event baseline 63.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

192.4Season APEX377

5.1Auto19.4

15.1Teleop46.1

9Endgame23.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	2	42
teleop	1	77
endgame	1	28
foul	0	0
total	4	147

Result

Final score

4 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 41.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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