FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

71.63 – 59.69

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

56 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 18.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 190.3 ±12.1

8286E.A.G.L.E.S. Robotics

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 18.16Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9673Volt Vespids

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 19.89Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2405Techno Trojans

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 33.58Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 172.4 ±12.8

10978Complete Robotics

Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 40.11Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6533BeaverTech noducks

Season APEX 45Event APEX 5.6Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9662Valley Lutheran Chargers

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 13.98Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8286, 9673, 2405

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8286, 9673, 2405

Auto

16.0 22%

Teleop

40.3 55%

Endgame

17.0 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10978, 6533, 9662

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10978, 6533, 9662

Auto

21.3 38%

Teleop

27.9 49%

Endgame

7.5 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score71.6pts

Blue projected score59.7pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 11.9
Score range: 39–93
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 95 vs event baseline 114.5.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

190.3Season APEX172.4

16Auto21.3

40.3Teleop27.9

17Endgame7.5

55Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	2	15
teleop	32	20
endgame	22	4
foul	0	0
total	56	39

Result

Final score

56 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 18.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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