FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

313.08 – 164.2

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

371 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 51.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 566.5 ±9.9

5234Marauder Bots

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 23.52Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 155.71Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 133.85Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 383.1 ±10.5

4381Twisted Devils

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 74.12Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9673Volt Vespids

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 21.39Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

573Mech Warriors

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 68.69Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5234, 7166, 2337

/ 100 compat

Projected

313.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5234, 7166, 2337

Auto

64.8 21%

Teleop

176.5 57%

Endgame

70.5 23%

Strengths

· 7166 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4381, 9673, 573

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4381, 9673, 573

Auto

35.2 22%

Teleop

89.2 55%

Endgame

37.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score313.1pts

Blue projected score164.2pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 148.9
Score range: 144–333
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 490 vs event baseline 113.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

566.5Season APEX383.1

64.8Auto35.2

176.5Teleop89.2

70.5Endgame37.5

0Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	81	38
teleop	191	66
endgame	64	15
foul	35	0
total	371	119

Result

Final score

371 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 51.6 pts

Match videos

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