FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

189.9 – 133.47

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

199 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 21.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 529.8 ±9.9

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 16.24Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 74.54Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 99.12Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 401.1 ±11.1

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 44.23Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 41.48Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5674The Gearhounds

Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 47.76Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7660, 3707, 6615

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7660, 3707, 6615

Auto

35.4 19%

Teleop

90.4 49%

Endgame

58.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 548, 8426, 5674

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 548, 8426, 5674

Auto

34.5 27%

Teleop

56.3 44%

Endgame

36.9 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score189.9pts

Blue projected score133.5pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 56.4
Score range: 108–215
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 366 vs event baseline 140.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

529.8Season APEX401.1

35.4Auto34.5

90.4Teleop56.3

58.4Endgame36.9

20Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	30
teleop	95	75
endgame	50	62
foul	15	0
total	199	167

Result

Final score

199 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 21.3 pts

Match videos

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