FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

305.03 – 263.21

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

292 – 229

Prediction correct · off by 23.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 597.2 ±9.9

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 27.61Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 134.1Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 143.32Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 478.7 ±10.5

5114Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 200Event APEX 107.08Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 25.54Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 130.59Rank 7Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 308, 2137, 67

/ 100 compat

Projected

305 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 308, 2137, 67

Auto

72.9 24%

Teleop

168.7 56%

Endgame

60.3 20%

Strengths

· 67 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5114, 5067, 1023

/ 100 compat

Projected

263.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5114, 5067, 1023

Auto

50.0 20%

Teleop

151.5 60%

Endgame

52.7 21%

Strengths

· 1023 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score305pts

Blue projected score263.2pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 41.8
Score range: 238–330
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 521 vs event baseline 138.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

597.2Season APEX478.7

72.9Auto50

168.7Teleop151.5

60.3Endgame52.7

11Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	60
teleop	147	140
endgame	73	24
foul	15	5
total	292	229

Result

Final score

292 – 229

Prediction correct · off by 23.6 pts

Match videos

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