Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
334.9 – 203.97
84%16%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
368 – 122
Prediction correct · off by 57.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 651.4 ±9.3
Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 22.77Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 139.11Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 173.02Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 529.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 20.51Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 79.64Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 103.82Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8424, 3538, 4362
80
/ 100 compatProjected
334.9 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 8424, 3538, 4362
Auto
69.8 21%
Teleop
200.7 61%
Endgame
58.6 18%
Strengths
- · 4362 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7660, 3707, 6615
81
/ 100 compatProjected
204 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 7660, 3707, 6615
Auto
35.5 18%
Teleop
97.2 49%
Endgame
64.3 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.18 · Blue 0.93
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score334.9pts
Blue projected score204pts
Red win probability84%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 130.9
- Score range
- 179–360
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
651.4Season APEX529.8
69.8Auto35.5
200.7Teleop97.2
58.6Endgame64.3
0Consistency15
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 64 | 35 |
| teleop | 232 | 58 |
| endgame | 67 | 29 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 368 | 122 |
Result
Final score
368 – 122
Prediction correct · off by 57.5 pts
Match videos
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