FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

112.99 – 129.64

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

90 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 19.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 230.3 ±12.7

4384Benzene Bots

Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 38.28Rank 12Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8423Next Express

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 41.61Rank 21Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6566Battering Rams

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 33.1Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 401.1 ±11.1

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 43.04Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 40.8Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5674The Gearhounds

Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 45.8Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4384, 8423, 6566

/ 100 compat

Projected

113 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4384, 8423, 6566

Auto

31.5 28%

Teleop

53.3 47%

Endgame

27.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 548, 8426, 5674

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 548, 8426, 5674

Auto

33.1 27%

Teleop

53.3 43%

Endgame

38.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score113pts

Blue projected score129.6pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -16.6
Score range: 88–155
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 236 vs event baseline 137.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

230.3Season APEX401.1

31.5Auto33.1

53.3Teleop53.3

27.7Endgame38.2

14Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	41
teleop	31	67
endgame	17	28
foul	15	10
total	90	146

Result

Final score

90 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 19.7 pts

Match videos

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