FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.13 – 107.68

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

83 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 363.8 ±11.1

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 42.84Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 12.29Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 14Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217 ±12.1

2145HAZMATS

Season APEX 69Event APEX 27.24Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7553OSTC - SWEET BOTS

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 46.17Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7762AutoPilots

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 34.27Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5066, 7178, 7491

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5066, 7178, 7491

Auto

23.0 33%

Teleop

33.4 48%

Endgame

12.8 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2145, 7553, 7762

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2145, 7553, 7762

Auto

18.1 18%

Teleop

57.3 57%

Endgame

25.4 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.1pts

Blue projected score107.7pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -38.6
Score range: 44–133
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 203 vs event baseline 138.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

363.8Season APEX217

23Auto18.1

33.4Teleop57.3

12.8Endgame25.4

1Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	24
teleop	48	45
endgame	6	41
foul	0	10
total	83	120

Result

Final score

83 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.