FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

244.21 – 136.87

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

330 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 59.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 478.7 ±10.5

5114Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 200Event APEX 100.19Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 19.04Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 124.98Rank 7Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 401.1 ±11.1

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 45.45Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 43.61Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5674The Gearhounds

Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 47.81Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5114, 5067, 1023

/ 100 compat

Projected

244.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5114, 5067, 1023

Auto

53.6 23%

Teleop

138.9 58%

Endgame

45.6 19%

Strengths

· 1023 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 548, 8426, 5674

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 548, 8426, 5674

Auto

32.6 25%

Teleop

58.7 45%

Endgame

39.0 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score244.2pts

Blue projected score136.9pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 107.3
Score range: 112–269
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 434 vs event baseline 137.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

478.7Season APEX401.1

53.6Auto32.6

138.9Teleop58.7

45.6Endgame39

18Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	35
teleop	196	33
endgame	77	36
foul	20	0
total	330	104

Result

Final score

330 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 59.3 pts

Match videos

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