FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

302.32 – 114.19

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

322 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 11.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 597.2 ±9.9

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 27.21Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 132.91Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 142.2Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 230.3 ±12.7

4384Benzene Bots

Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 38.85Rank 12Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8423Next Express

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 42.44Rank 21Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6566Battering Rams

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 32.9Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 308, 2137, 67

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 308, 2137, 67

Auto

76.3 25%

Teleop

168.6 56%

Endgame

55.5 18%

Strengths

· 67 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4384, 8423, 6566

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4384, 8423, 6566

Auto

30.5 27%

Teleop

55.4 49%

Endgame

27.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.39 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score302.3pts

Blue projected score114.2pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 188.1
Score range: 89–327
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 433 vs event baseline 136.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

597.2Season APEX230.3

76.3Auto30.5

168.6Teleop55.4

55.5Endgame27.6

18Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	34
teleop	172	45
endgame	80	32
foul	10	0
total	322	111

Result

Final score

322 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 11.4 pts

Match videos

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