Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
212.84 – 109.69
78%22%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
175 – 98
Prediction correct · off by 24.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 529.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 23.94Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 82.28Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 106.62Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217 ±12.1
Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 35.33Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 46.45Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69Event APEX 27.91Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7660, 3707, 6615
80
/ 100 compatProjected
212.8 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 7660, 3707, 6615
Auto
33.3 16%
Teleop
98.4 48%
Endgame
71.9 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7762, 7553, 2145
54
/ 100 compatProjected
109.7 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 7762, 7553, 2145
Auto
16.1 16%
Teleop
59.4 57%
Endgame
28.1 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.95
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score212.8pts
Blue projected score109.7pts
Red win probability78%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 103.2
- Score range
- 85–238
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
529.8Season APEX217
33.3Auto16.1
98.4Teleop59.4
71.9Endgame28.1
10Consistency62
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 45 | 26 |
| teleop | 93 | 49 |
| endgame | 37 | 13 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 175 | 98 |
Result
Final score
175 – 98
Prediction correct · off by 24.8 pts
Match videos
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