FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

320.01 – 67.37

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

395 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 46.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 651.4 ±9.3

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 17.7Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 133.93Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4362Gems

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 168.38Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 363.8 ±11.1

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 41.54Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 12.22Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 13.61Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8424, 3538, 4362

/ 100 compat

Projected

320 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8424, 3538, 4362

Auto

64.7 21%

Teleop

189.3 61%

Endgame

58.2 19%

Strengths

· 4362 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5066, 7178, 7491

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5066, 7178, 7491

Auto

24.3 35%

Teleop

33.0 48%

Endgame

11.2 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score320pts

Blue projected score67.4pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 252.6
Score range: 43–344
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 481 vs event baseline 134.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

651.4Season APEX363.8

64.7Auto24.3

189.3Teleop33

58.2Endgame11.2

9Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	90	19
teleop	245	41
endgame	60	21
foul	0	5
total	395	86

Result

Final score

395 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 46.8 pts

Match videos

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