FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

253.51 – 190.59

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

200 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 36.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 478.7 ±10.5

5114Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 200Event APEX 103.12Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 23.16Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 127.23Rank 7Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 529.8 ±9.9

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 16.86Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 74.66Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 99.07Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5114, 5067, 1023

/ 100 compat

Projected

253.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5114, 5067, 1023

Auto

50.1 20%

Teleop

147.9 60%

Endgame

48.8 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7660, 3707, 6615

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7660, 3707, 6615

Auto

35.6 19%

Teleop

90.8 50%

Endgame

57.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.96 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score253.5pts

Blue projected score190.6pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 62.9
Score range: 165–280
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 372 vs event baseline 143.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

478.7Season APEX529.8

50.1Auto35.6

147.9Teleop90.8

48.8Endgame57

6Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	49
teleop	99	73
endgame	15	50
foul	30	0
total	200	172

Result

Final score

200 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 36.1 pts

Match videos

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