FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

257.24 – 110.74

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

233 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 478.7 ±10.5

5114Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 200Event APEX 104.77Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 23.7Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 128.77Rank 7Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217 ±12.1

2145HAZMATS

Season APEX 69Event APEX 27.94Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7553OSTC - SWEET BOTS

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 47.07Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7762AutoPilots

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 35.73Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5114, 5067, 1023

/ 100 compat

Projected

257.2 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5114, 5067, 1023

Auto

51.9 21%

Teleop

149.7 60%

Endgame

47.5 19%

Strengths

· 1023 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2145, 7553, 7762

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2145, 7553, 7762

Auto

19.1 18%

Teleop

55.6 54%

Endgame

28.8 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score257.2pts

Blue projected score110.7pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 146.5
Score range: 86–282
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 370 vs event baseline 140.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

478.7Season APEX217

51.9Auto19.1

149.7Teleop55.6

47.5Endgame28.8

1Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	36
teleop	139	60
endgame	53	36
foul	0	5
total	233	137

Result

Final score

233 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 pts

Match videos

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