FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 80

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

109.5 – 206.02

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

198 – 233

Prediction correct · off by 57.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 345.6 ±12.4

6610Robot Roll Call

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 28.35Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 75.78Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7225Mechatronic Mustangs

Season APEX 55Event APEX 5.37Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 316.3 ±12.4

4362Gems

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 166.77Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6566Battering Rams

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 31.73Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10285Sacred Heart Outlanders

Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 7.52Rank 34Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6610, 3707, 7225

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6610, 3707, 7225

Auto

16.2 15%

Teleop

46.0 44%

Endgame

42.8 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4362, 6566, 10285

/ 100 compat

Projected

206 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4362, 6566, 10285

Auto

47.2 23%

Teleop

118.5 58%

Endgame

39.4 19%

Strengths

· 4362 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score109.5pts

Blue projected score206pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -96.5
Score range: 86–230
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 431 vs event baseline 133.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

345.6Season APEX316.3

16.2Auto47.2

46Teleop118.5

42.8Endgame39.4

46Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	58
teleop	92	123
endgame	85	42
foul	0	10
total	198	233

Result

Final score

198 – 233

Prediction correct · off by 57.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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