FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

73.15 – 109.54

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

187 – 11

Prediction missed · off by 106.2 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 410.7 ±11.2

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 10.29Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7225Mechatronic Mustangs

Season APEX 55Event APEX 11.43Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4362Gems

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 51.43Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 216.3 ±13.3

5695Heavy Duty Eagles

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 10.29Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4384Benzene Bots

Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 47.82Rank 12Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3302TurboTrojans

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 51.43Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8424, 7225, 4362

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8424, 7225, 4362

Auto

11.1 15%

Teleop

40.0 56%

Endgame

20.6 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5695, 4384, 3302

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5695, 4384, 3302

Auto

18.0 16%

Teleop

66.6 61%

Endgame

25.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score73.2pts

Blue projected score109.5pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -36.4
Score range: 51–132
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 198 vs event baseline 121.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

410.7Season APEX216.3

11.1Auto18

40Teleop66.6

20.6Endgame25

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	7
teleop	103	1
endgame	65	3
foul	0	0
total	187	11

Result

Final score

187 – 11

Prediction missed · off by 106.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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