Qualification · Qualification 79
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
15.37 – 205.21
9%91%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
39 – 185
Prediction correct · off by 21.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 150.8 ±13.9
Season APEX 52.7Event APEX -1.11Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 11.59Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 4.89Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 394.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 33.16Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 144.15Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 27.9Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3302, 11457, 11462
5
/ 100 compatProjected
15.4 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 3302, 11457, 11462
Auto
12.1 100%
Teleop
-3.1 0%
Endgame
0.6 6%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11486, 67, 308
82
/ 100 compatProjected
205.2 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 11486, 67, 308
Auto
49.0 25%
Teleop
113.4 57%
Endgame
37.2 19%
Strengths
- · 67 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.6 · Blue 2.33
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score15.4pts
Blue projected score205.2pts
Red win probability9%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -189.8
- Score range
- -9–229
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
150.8Season APEX394.2
12.1Auto49
-3.1Teleop113.4
0.6Endgame37.2
33Consistency3
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 46 |
| teleop | 8 | 112 |
| endgame | 11 | 27 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 39 | 185 |
Result
Final score
39 – 185
Prediction correct · off by 21.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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