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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 78

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

184.6377.62

79%21%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

23884

Prediction correct · off by 29.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 475.9 ±10.5
Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 40.29Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 129.69Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 14.65Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 380.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 45.74Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 18.45Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 13.43Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8426, 2137, 8424
78
/ 100 compat
Projected
184.6 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 8426, 2137, 8424
Auto
52.2 29%
Teleop
83.4 47%
Endgame
42.0 24%
Strengths
  • · 2137 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 548, 5695, 7491
45
/ 100 compat
Projected
77.6 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 548, 5695, 7491
Auto
25.8 31%
Teleop
37.8 45%
Endgame
19.5 23%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 0.88
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score184.6pts
Blue projected score77.6pts
Red win probability79%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
107
Score range
54209
Upset likelihood
21%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 322 vs event baseline 133.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

475.9Season APEX380.2
52.2Auto25.8
83.4Teleop37.8
42Endgame19.5
35Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto6631
teleop11632
endgame5621
foul00
total23884

Result

Final score

23884

Prediction correct · off by 29.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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