Qualification · Qualification 78
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
184.63 – 77.62
79%21%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
238 – 84
Prediction correct · off by 29.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 475.9 ±10.5
Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 40.29Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 129.69Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 14.65Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 380.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 45.74Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 18.45Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 13.43Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8426, 2137, 8424
78
/ 100 compatProjected
184.6 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 8426, 2137, 8424
Auto
52.2 29%
Teleop
83.4 47%
Endgame
42.0 24%
Strengths
- · 2137 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 548, 5695, 7491
45
/ 100 compatProjected
77.6 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 548, 5695, 7491
Auto
25.8 31%
Teleop
37.8 45%
Endgame
19.5 23%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 0.88
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score184.6pts
Blue projected score77.6pts
Red win probability79%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 107
- Score range
- 54–209
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
475.9Season APEX380.2
52.2Auto25.8
83.4Teleop37.8
42Endgame19.5
35Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 66 | 31 |
| teleop | 116 | 32 |
| endgame | 56 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 238 | 84 |
Result
Final score
238 – 84
Prediction correct · off by 29.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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