FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.47 – 95.01

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

58 – 81

Prediction correct · off by 23.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 344.6 ±11.7

11473Wixom Christian Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 14.25Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 44.76Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2145HAZMATS

Season APEX 69Event APEX 31.46Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 220.1 ±12.7

4737Atomigators

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 25.54Rank 39Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 24.93Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8423Next Express

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 44.54Rank 21Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11473, 5066, 2145

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 11473, 5066, 2145

Auto

24.0 27%

Teleop

39.8 45%

Endgame

25.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4737, 7660, 8423

/ 100 compat

Projected

95 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4737, 7660, 8423

Auto

26.8 30%

Teleop

40.5 46%

Endgame

21.5 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.5pts

Blue projected score95pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -4.5
Score range: 66–119
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 139 vs event baseline 134.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

344.6Season APEX220.1

24Auto26.8

39.8Teleop40.5

25.3Endgame21.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	30
teleop	14	18
endgame	22	33
foul	0	0
total	58	81

Result

Final score

58 – 81

Prediction correct · off by 23.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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