FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

159.69 – 67.84

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

270 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 77.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 451.4 ±11.1

4384Benzene Bots

Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 30.24Rank 12Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 125.51Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 3.94Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 238.6 ±12.7

10612Cougear

Season APEX 77Event APEX 1.11Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6078RoboRams

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 21.71Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7553OSTC - SWEET BOTS

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 45.02Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4384, 3538, 7178

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4384, 3538, 7178

Auto

37.7 24%

Teleop

94.0 59%

Endgame

26.7 17%

Strengths

· 3538 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10612, 6078, 7553

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10612, 6078, 7553

Auto

16.9 26%

Teleop

21.7 33%

Endgame

26.9 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score159.7pts

Blue projected score67.8pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 91.9
Score range: 44–184
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 383 vs event baseline 133.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

451.4Season APEX238.6

37.7Auto16.9

94Teleop21.7

26.7Endgame26.9

0Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	18
teleop	162	47
endgame	49	43
foul	0	5
total	270	113

Result

Final score

270 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 77.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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