FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

192.64 – 59.48

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

177 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 12.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 374.1 ±11.7

11486Chesterton Saints

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 33.17Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 109.02Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5674The Gearhounds

Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 50.45Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 172.5 ±12.7

7225Mechatronic Mustangs

Season APEX 55Event APEX 5.7Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10652Mechanical MacGyvers

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 35.04Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 18.74Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11486, 6615, 5674

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.6 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11486, 6615, 5674

Auto

35.4 19%

Teleop

100.3 53%

Endgame

53.9 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7225, 10652, 5067

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7225, 10652, 5067

Auto

9.3 17%

Teleop

34.4 63%

Endgame

11.3 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score192.6pts

Blue projected score59.5pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 133.2
Score range: 35–217
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 245 vs event baseline 133.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

374.1Season APEX172.5

35.4Auto9.3

100.3Teleop34.4

53.9Endgame11.3

32Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	28
teleop	64	29
endgame	60	11
foul	20	0
total	177	68

Result

Final score

177 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 12.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.