FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

383.5 – 177.4

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

359 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 57 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 747.9 ±8.7

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 132.92Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4362Gems

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 172.01Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 78.57Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 340.1 ±12.4

11462Morenci Miswired

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 13.52Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

314The Megatron Oracles

Season APEX 54Event APEX 30.22Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 133.66Rank 7Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2137, 4362, 3707

/ 100 compat

Projected

383.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2137, 4362, 3707

Auto

70.5 19%

Teleop

222.1 59%

Endgame

86.8 23%

Strengths

· 4362 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11462, 314, 1023

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11462, 314, 1023

Auto

41.2 25%

Teleop

91.3 56%

Endgame

31.9 19%

Strengths

· 1023 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score383.5pts

Blue projected score177.4pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 206.1
Score range: 153–408
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 447 vs event baseline 132.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

747.9Season APEX340.1

70.5Auto41.2

222.1Teleop91.3

86.8Endgame31.9

55Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	81	36
teleop	169	50
endgame	104	2
foul	5	0
total	359	88

Result

Final score

359 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 57 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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