FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.01 – 161.6

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

87 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 10.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 145.2 ±12.7

7762AutoPilots

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 34.98Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10285Sacred Heart Outlanders

Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 6.49Rank 34Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 25.54Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 394.8 ±11.1

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 143.08Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 13.69Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 4.83Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7762, 10285, 308

/ 100 compat

Projected

67 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7762, 10285, 308

Auto

15.2 24%

Teleop

40.2 64%

Endgame

7.6 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 67, 7491, 830

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 67, 7491, 830

Auto

43.5 27%

Teleop

95.1 60%

Endgame

20.4 13%

Strengths

· 67 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score67pts

Blue projected score161.6pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -94.6
Score range: 43–186
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 249 vs event baseline 132.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

145.2Season APEX394.8

15.2Auto43.5

40.2Teleop95.1

7.6Endgame20.4

57Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	32
teleop	39	78
endgame	17	52
foul	5	0
total	87	162

Result

Final score

87 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 10.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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