FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 166.31

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 271

Prediction correct · off by 75.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 248 ±12.2

3302TurboTrojans

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX -4.54Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 8.33Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10612Cougear

Season APEX 77Event APEX -4.46Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 452 ±11.7

4737Atomigators

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 19.65Rank 39Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 30.76Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 115.9Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3302, 8424, 10612

/ 100 compat

Projected

-0.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3302, 8424, 10612

Auto

12.7 0%

Teleop

-17.9 100%

Endgame

1.0 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4737, 8426, 3538

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4737, 8426, 3538

Auto

43.4 27%

Teleop

88.5 55%

Endgame

28.2 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-0.7pts

Blue projected score166.3pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -166.3
Score range: -24–190
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 318 vs event baseline 132.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

248Season APEX452

12.7Auto43.4

-17.9Teleop88.5

1Endgame28.2

45Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	57
teleop	14	157
endgame	11	57
foul	5	0
total	47	271

Result

Final score

47 – 271

Prediction correct · off by 75.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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