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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

46.59207.21

12%88%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

36139

Prediction correct · off by 39.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 160.4 ±12.7
Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 16.86Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 25.27Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 4.46Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 554.2 ±9.9
Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 53.28Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 116.31Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 37.62Rank 12Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11457, 7660, 7178
29
/ 100 compat
Projected
46.6 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 11457, 7660, 7178
Auto
17.6 45%
Teleop
15.9 40%
Endgame
6.0 15%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5066, 6615, 4384
83
/ 100 compat
Projected
207.2 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 5066, 6615, 4384
Auto
46.4 22%
Teleop
102.6 50%
Endgame
58.0 28%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.36
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score46.6pts
Blue projected score207.2pts
Red win probability12%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-160.6
Score range
23231
Upset likelihood
12%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 175 vs event baseline 132.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

160.4Season APEX554.2
17.6Auto46.4
15.9Teleop102.6
6Endgame58
0Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1618
teleop382
endgame1739
foul00
total36139

Result

Final score

36139

Prediction correct · off by 39.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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