Qualification · Qualification 70
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
46.59 – 207.21
12%88%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
36 – 139
Prediction correct · off by 39.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 160.4 ±12.7
Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 16.86Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 25.27Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 4.46Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 554.2 ±9.9
Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 53.28Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 116.31Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 37.62Rank 12Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11457, 7660, 7178
29
/ 100 compatProjected
46.6 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 11457, 7660, 7178
Auto
17.6 45%
Teleop
15.9 40%
Endgame
6.0 15%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5066, 6615, 4384
83
/ 100 compatProjected
207.2 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 5066, 6615, 4384
Auto
46.4 22%
Teleop
102.6 50%
Endgame
58.0 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.36
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score46.6pts
Blue projected score207.2pts
Red win probability12%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -160.6
- Score range
- 23–231
- Upset likelihood
- 12%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
160.4Season APEX554.2
17.6Auto46.4
15.9Teleop102.6
6Endgame58
0Consistency1
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 18 |
| teleop | 3 | 82 |
| endgame | 17 | 39 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 36 | 139 |
Result
Final score
36 – 139
Prediction correct · off by 39.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.