Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
94.64 – 110.07
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
162 – 183
Prediction correct · off by 70.1 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 561.7 ±10.7
Season APEX 231.1Event APEX -Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 57.14Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.9Event APEX -Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 564 ±9.9
Season APEX 240.7Event APEX -Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.7Event APEX -Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 72.57Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5066, 67, 6610
61
/ 100 compatProjected
94.6 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 5066, 67, 6610
Auto
25.0 26%
Teleop
55.6 59%
Endgame
14.1 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3707, 7553, 548
68
/ 100 compatProjected
110.1 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 3707, 7553, 548
Auto
26.1 24%
Teleop
46.8 43%
Endgame
35.8 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score94.6pts
Blue projected score110.1pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -15.4
- Score range
- 75–130
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
561.7Season APEX564
13.7Auto14.9
36.9Teleop28
6.6Endgame28.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 59 | 24 |
| teleop | 101 | 90 |
| endgame | 2 | 69 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 162 | 183 |
Result
Final score
162 – 183
Prediction correct · off by 70.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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