FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

110.18 – 89.57

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

163 – 207

Prediction missed · off by 85.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 224.5 ±12.7

7553OSTC - SWEET BOTS

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 39.99Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8423Next Express

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 41.13Rank 21Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6566Battering Rams

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 29.06Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 391.2 ±11.7

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 37.42Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6078RoboRams

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 11.74Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5674The Gearhounds

Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 40.41Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7553, 8423, 6566

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7553, 8423, 6566

Auto

29.3 27%

Teleop

52.5 48%

Endgame

27.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 548, 6078, 5674

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 548, 6078, 5674

Auto

25.4 30%

Teleop

23.5 28%

Endgame

35.6 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.68 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score110.2pts

Blue projected score89.6pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 20.6
Score range: 66–134
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 370 vs event baseline 132.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

224.5Season APEX391.2

29.3Auto25.4

52.5Teleop23.5

27.6Endgame35.6

40Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	27
teleop	85	120
endgame	53	55
foul	0	5
total	163	207

Result

Final score

163 – 207

Prediction missed · off by 85.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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