FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

169.74 – 56.34

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

178 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 22.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 315.4 ±12.2

6610Robot Roll Call

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 28.45Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10652Mechanical MacGyvers

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 35.15Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5114Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 200Event APEX 106.14Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 212.9 ±13.9

5053Lakers

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 18.45Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11473Wixom Christian Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 16.17Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5695Heavy Duty Eagles

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 21.72Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6610, 10652, 5114

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6610, 10652, 5114

Auto

36.3 21%

Teleop

92.0 54%

Endgame

42.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5053, 11473, 5695

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5053, 11473, 5695

Auto

22.3 40%

Teleop

14.7 27%

Endgame

18.1 33%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.2 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score169.7pts

Blue projected score56.3pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 113.4
Score range: 32–194
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 198 vs event baseline 132.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

315.4Season APEX212.9

36.3Auto22.3

92Teleop14.7

42Endgame18.1

18Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	13
teleop	100	2
endgame	34	0
foul	0	5
total	178	20

Result

Final score

178 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 22.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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