FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

148.79 – 58.67

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

164 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 21.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 355.7 ±11.1

10612Cougear

Season APEX 77Event APEX -4.28Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 17.75Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 135.32Rank 7Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 234 ±11.6

2145HAZMATS

Season APEX 69Event APEX 31.33Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 4.81Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 22.53Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10612, 5067, 1023

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10612, 5067, 1023

Auto

34.8 25%

Teleop

81.3 57%

Endgame

25.5 18%

Strengths

· 1023 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2145, 8424, 308

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2145, 8424, 308

Auto

7.6 15%

Teleop

22.4 45%

Endgame

19.7 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score148.8pts

Blue projected score58.7pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 90.1
Score range: 35–173
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 251 vs event baseline 132.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

355.7Season APEX234

34.8Auto7.6

81.3Teleop22.4

25.5Endgame19.7

3Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	22
teleop	83	36
endgame	49	29
foul	5	0
total	164	87

Result

Final score

164 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 21.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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