Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

162.53134.37

59%41%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

264156

Prediction correct · off by 61.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 379.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 54Event APEX 22.68Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 123.6Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 16.25Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 357.1 ±12.4
Season APEX 55Event APEX 3.9Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 14.98Rank 39Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 115.49Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 314, 2137, 7660
69
/ 100 compat
Projected
162.5 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 314, 2137, 7660
Auto
49.7 31%
Teleop
88.6 55%
Endgame
21.4 13%
Strengths
  • · 2137 anchors offense
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7225, 4737, 6615
64
/ 100 compat
Projected
134.4 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 7225, 4737, 6615
Auto
26.3 20%
Teleop
60.4 46%
Endgame
44.7 34%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.29
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score162.5pts
Blue projected score134.4pts
Red win probability59%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
28.2
Score range
110187
Upset likelihood
41%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 420 vs event baseline 131.4.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

379.3Season APEX357.1
49.7Auto26.3
88.6Teleop60.4
21.4Endgame44.7
26Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto7032
teleop13974
endgame5045
foul55
total264156

Result

Final score

264156

Prediction correct · off by 61.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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