Qualification · Qualification 66
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
162.53 – 134.37
59%41%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
264 – 156
Prediction correct · off by 61.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 379.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 54Event APEX 22.68Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 123.6Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 16.25Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 357.1 ±12.4
Season APEX 55Event APEX 3.9Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 14.98Rank 39Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 115.49Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 314, 2137, 7660
69
/ 100 compatProjected
162.5 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 314, 2137, 7660
Auto
49.7 31%
Teleop
88.6 55%
Endgame
21.4 13%
Strengths
- · 2137 anchors offense
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7225, 4737, 6615
64
/ 100 compatProjected
134.4 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 7225, 4737, 6615
Auto
26.3 20%
Teleop
60.4 46%
Endgame
44.7 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.29
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score162.5pts
Blue projected score134.4pts
Red win probability59%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 28.2
- Score range
- 110–187
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
379.3Season APEX357.1
49.7Auto26.3
88.6Teleop60.4
21.4Endgame44.7
26Consistency55
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 70 | 32 |
| teleop | 139 | 74 |
| endgame | 50 | 45 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 264 | 156 |
Result
Final score
264 – 156
Prediction correct · off by 61.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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