FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

244.6 – 82.69

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

252 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 13 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 391.2 ±11.1

7762AutoPilots

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 35.54Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4384Benzene Bots

Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 38.8Rank 12Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4362Gems

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 170.26Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 191.9 ±13.3

6566Battering Rams

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 30.62Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11462Morenci Miswired

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 18.09Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 33.98Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7762, 4384, 4362

/ 100 compat

Projected

244.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7762, 4384, 4362

Auto

44.1 19%

Teleop

150.4 63%

Endgame

42.8 18%

Strengths

· 4362 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6566, 11462, 8426

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6566, 11462, 8426

Auto

32.3 44%

Teleop

27.7 37%

Endgame

13.9 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score244.6pts

Blue projected score82.7pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 161.9
Score range: 59–269
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 316 vs event baseline 131.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

391.2Season APEX191.9

44.1Auto32.3

150.4Teleop27.7

42.8Endgame13.9

58Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	33
teleop	147	16
endgame	60	15
foul	0	0
total	252	64

Result

Final score

252 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 13 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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