FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

84.27 – 55.63

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

103 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 16.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 523.4 ±10.7

3302TurboTrojans

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX -5.91Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 35.39Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 54.79Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 179.3 ±12.1

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 8.27Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 10.09Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10652Mechanical MacGyvers

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 37.27Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3302, 548, 5066

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3302, 548, 5066

Auto

30.1 35%

Teleop

32.6 38%

Endgame

22.6 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7178, 830, 10652

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7178, 830, 10652

Auto

6.2 12%

Teleop

30.5 58%

Endgame

16.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.68 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score84.3pts

Blue projected score55.6pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 28.6
Score range: 32–108
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 144 vs event baseline 132.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

523.4Season APEX179.3

30.1Auto6.2

32.6Teleop30.5

22.6Endgame16.2

13Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	14
teleop	45	18
endgame	29	9
foul	0	0
total	103	41

Result

Final score

103 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 16.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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