Qualification · Qualification 63
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
76.04 – 64.18
54%46%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
55 – 61
Prediction missed · off by 12.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 221 ±13.3
Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 14.29Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69Event APEX 35.99Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 25.76Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 160.9 ±13.3
Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 31.57Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 15.75Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 16.86Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6078, 2145, 5695
37
/ 100 compatProjected
76 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 6078, 2145, 5695
Auto
21.9 30%
Teleop
20.2 28%
Endgame
30.8 42%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6610, 7491, 11473
32
/ 100 compatProjected
64.2 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 6610, 7491, 11473
Auto
21.9 31%
Teleop
18.4 26%
Endgame
31.4 44%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.44
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score76pts
Blue projected score64.2pts
Red win probability54%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 11.9
- Score range
- 40–100
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
221Season APEX160.9
21.9Auto21.9
20.2Teleop18.4
30.8Endgame31.4
8Consistency18
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 15 |
| teleop | 13 | 26 |
| endgame | 16 | 20 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 55 | 61 |
Result
Final score
55 – 61
Prediction missed · off by 12.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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