Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

76.0464.18

54%46%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

5561

Prediction missed · off by 12.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 221 ±13.3
Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 14.29Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69Event APEX 35.99Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 25.76Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 160.9 ±13.3
Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 31.57Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 15.75Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 16.86Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6078, 2145, 5695
37
/ 100 compat
Projected
76 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 6078, 2145, 5695
Auto
21.9 30%
Teleop
20.2 28%
Endgame
30.8 42%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6610, 7491, 11473
32
/ 100 compat
Projected
64.2 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 6610, 7491, 11473
Auto
21.9 31%
Teleop
18.4 26%
Endgame
31.4 44%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.44
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score76pts
Blue projected score64.2pts
Red win probability54%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
11.9
Score range
40100
Upset likelihood
46%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
Close match

Combined score 116 vs event baseline 133.2.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

221Season APEX160.9
21.9Auto21.9
20.2Teleop18.4
30.8Endgame31.4
8Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1615
teleop1326
endgame1620
foul100
total5561

Result

Final score

5561

Prediction missed · off by 12.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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