FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

332.64 – 227.57

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

233 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 89.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 736.4 ±9.3

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 90.57Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 126.64Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5114Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 200Event APEX 115.43Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 428.8 ±11.1

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 28.15Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 149.69Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8423Next Express

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 49.73Rank 21Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3707, 3538, 5114

/ 100 compat

Projected

332.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3707, 3538, 5114

Auto

73.9 23%

Teleop

190.2 58%

Endgame

61.5 19%

Strengths

· 3538 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5067, 67, 8423

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5067, 67, 8423

Auto

55.6 26%

Teleop

120.1 55%

Endgame

42.0 19%

Strengths

· 67 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score332.6pts

Blue projected score227.6pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 105.1
Score range: 204–357
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 382 vs event baseline 132.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

736.4Season APEX428.8

73.9Auto55.6

190.2Teleop120.1

61.5Endgame42

44Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	49
teleop	150	85
endgame	60	5
foul	0	10
total	233	149

Result

Final score

233 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 89.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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