FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

74.7 – 154.14

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

82 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 12.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 375 ±11.1

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 10.92Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 32.41Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 31.37Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 347.9 ±11.7

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 139.12Rank 7Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 7.72Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7225Mechatronic Mustangs

Season APEX 55Event APEX 7.3Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 830, 548, 8426

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 830, 548, 8426

Auto

16.1 23%

Teleop

19.5 28%

Endgame

33.1 48%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1023, 7178, 7225

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1023, 7178, 7225

Auto

24.0 16%

Teleop

88.6 58%

Endgame

39.2 26%

Strengths

· 1023 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.02 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score74.7pts

Blue projected score154.1pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -79.4
Score range: 51–178
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 219 vs event baseline 133.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

375Season APEX347.9

16.1Auto24

19.5Teleop88.6

33.1Endgame39.2

0Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	33
teleop	37	54
endgame	16	20
foul	0	30
total	82	137

Result

Final score

82 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 12.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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