FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

99.22 – 61.21

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

92 – 19

Prediction correct · off by 24.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 204.1 ±12.1

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 44.28Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 16.57Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7762AutoPilots

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 38.37Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 148.7 ±13.3

11473Wixom Christian Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 11.15Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10652Mechanical MacGyvers

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 36.98Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11457INVEST

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 13.08Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8426, 5067, 7762

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8426, 5067, 7762

Auto

26.2 29%

Teleop

47.3 52%

Endgame

16.6 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11473, 10652, 11457

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11473, 10652, 11457

Auto

13.9 23%

Teleop

27.3 45%

Endgame

19.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score99.2pts

Blue projected score61.2pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 38
Score range: 34–126
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 111 vs event baseline 148.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

204.1Season APEX148.7

26.2Auto13.9

47.3Teleop27.3

16.6Endgame19.8

43Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	1
teleop	77	14
endgame	1	4
foul	0	0
total	92	19

Result

Final score

92 – 19

Prediction correct · off by 24.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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