FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

85.2 – 35.09

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

66 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 364.5 ±11.7

6078RoboRams

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 14.72Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 15.06Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 55.42Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 197.8 ±12.7

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 19.56Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10612Cougear

Season APEX 77Event APEX -6.31Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5695Heavy Duty Eagles

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 21.84Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6078, 7660, 5066

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6078, 7660, 5066

Auto

26.6 35%

Teleop

30.7 40%

Endgame

19.7 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 308, 10612, 5695

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 308, 10612, 5695

Auto

20.8 49%

Teleop

19.6 46%

Endgame

2.1 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.78 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score85.2pts

Blue projected score35.1pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 50.1
Score range: 11–109
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 116 vs event baseline 134.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

364.5Season APEX197.8

26.6Auto20.8

30.7Teleop19.6

19.7Endgame2.1

5Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	15
teleop	16	17
endgame	14	13
foul	0	5
total	66	50

Result

Final score

66 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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