FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

134.5 – 18.8

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

171 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 32.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 325.9 ±12.2

5114Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 200Event APEX 112.31Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11462Morenci Miswired

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 13.68Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 8.51Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 151.2 ±13.9

3302TurboTrojans

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX -9.41Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11473Wixom Christian Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 9.63Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

314The Megatron Oracles

Season APEX 54Event APEX 18.58Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5114, 11462, 7491

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5114, 11462, 7491

Auto

52.5 40%

Teleop

56.8 44%

Endgame

20.4 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3302, 11473, 314

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3302, 11473, 314

Auto

12.4 73%

Teleop

-3.9 0%

Endgame

8.6 50%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.14 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score134.5pts

Blue projected score18.8pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 115.7
Score range: -5–159
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 218 vs event baseline 135.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

325.9Season APEX151.2

52.5Auto12.4

56.8Teleop-3.9

20.4Endgame8.6

8Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	23
teleop	111	16
endgame	23	8
foul	0	0
total	171	47

Result

Final score

171 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 32.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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