FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

157.7 – 86.55

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

254 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 51.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 411.3 ±11.1

4384Benzene Bots

Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 28.67Rank 12Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 17.76Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 111.27Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.2 ±13.9

4737Atomigators

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 14.77Rank 39Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

11486Chesterton Saints

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 37.2Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6610Robot Roll Call

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 34.58Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4384, 5067, 2137

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4384, 5067, 2137

Auto

39.7 25%

Teleop

88.2 56%

Endgame

28.9 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4737, 11486, 6610

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4737, 11486, 6610

Auto

23.5 26%

Teleop

39.0 44%

Endgame

26.9 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score157.7pts

Blue projected score86.6pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 71.1
Score range: 63–182
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 333 vs event baseline 134.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

411.3Season APEX185.2

39.7Auto23.5

88.2Teleop39

28.9Endgame26.9

77Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	23
teleop	138	29
endgame	48	27
foul	0	0
total	254	79

Result

Final score

254 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 51.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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