FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

225.95 – 80.61

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

135 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 59.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 364.1 ±12.4

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 162.83Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6566Battering Rams

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 38.37Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11457INVEST

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 24.75Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 278.7 ±11.6

8423Next Express

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 44.95Rank 21Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

7762AutoPilots

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 32.39Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 3.27Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 67, 6566, 11457

/ 100 compat

Projected

226 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 67, 6566, 11457

Auto

53.1 25%

Teleop

134.0 62%

Endgame

28.9 13%

Strengths

· 67 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8423, 7762, 8424

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8423, 7762, 8424

Auto

17.5 26%

Teleop

36.8 54%

Endgame

13.9 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score226pts

Blue projected score80.6pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 145.3
Score range: 57–250
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 244 vs event baseline 134.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

364.1Season APEX278.7

53.1Auto17.5

134Teleop36.8

28.9Endgame13.9

25Consistency79

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	27
teleop	62	50
endgame	18	17
foul	0	15
total	135	109

Result

Final score

135 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 59.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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