FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

165.54 – 96.13

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

233 – 178

Prediction correct · off by 74.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 405.1 ±11.1

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 106.57Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 25.09Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7553OSTC - SWEET BOTS

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 33.88Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 391.4 ±11.1

10612Cougear

Season APEX 77Event APEX -18.75Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 79.23Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5674The Gearhounds

Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 35.65Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6615, 8426, 7553

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6615, 8426, 7553

Auto

26.8 17%

Teleop

61.8 39%

Endgame

68.6 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10612, 3707, 5674

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10612, 3707, 5674

Auto

22.4 25%

Teleop

41.3 46%

Endgame

26.8 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.01 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score165.5pts

Blue projected score96.1pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 69.4
Score range: 72–190
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 411 vs event baseline 132.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

405.1Season APEX391.4

26.8Auto22.4

61.8Teleop41.3

68.6Endgame26.8

31Consistency85

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	36
teleop	132	96
endgame	58	46
foul	0	0
total	233	178

Result

Final score

233 – 178

Prediction correct · off by 74.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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