FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

161.36 – 84.31

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

234 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 37.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 579.8 ±10.7

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 136.71Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 24.41Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11473Wixom Christian Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 0.24Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.3 ±12.7

4384Benzene Bots

Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 27.97Rank 12Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 14.92Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5053Lakers

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 41.42Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3538, 548, 11473

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3538, 548, 11473

Auto

53.6 33%

Teleop

76.9 48%

Endgame

31.0 19%

Strengths

· 3538 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4384, 7660, 5053

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4384, 7660, 5053

Auto

19.9 26%

Teleop

42.8 55%

Endgame

15.3 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.97 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score161.4pts

Blue projected score84.3pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 77.1
Score range: 61–184
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 320 vs event baseline 130.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

579.8Season APEX239.3

53.6Auto19.9

76.9Teleop42.8

31Endgame15.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	23
teleop	119	28
endgame	78	20
foul	0	15
total	234	86

Result

Final score

234 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 37.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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