FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.54 – 99.99

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 16.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 127.9 ±13.9

7225Mechatronic Mustangs

Season APEX 55Event APEX 6.18Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10285Sacred Heart Outlanders

Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 14.38Rank 34Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

11457INVEST

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 28.98Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178 ±12.7

6566Battering Rams

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 40.2Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2145HAZMATS

Season APEX 69Event APEX 26.3Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7762AutoPilots

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 33.49Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7225, 10285, 11457

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7225, 10285, 11457

Auto

3.9 9%

Teleop

27.2 62%

Endgame

13.1 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6566, 2145, 7762

/ 100 compat

Projected

100 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6566, 2145, 7762

Auto

26.0 28%

Teleop

53.3 58%

Endgame

12.7 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.08 · Blue 1.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49.5pts

Blue projected score100pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -50.4
Score range: 26–124
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 182 vs event baseline 130.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

127.9Season APEX178

3.9Auto26

27.2Teleop53.3

13.1Endgame12.7

41Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	22
teleop	26	78
endgame	11	31
foul	0	0
total	51	131

Result

Final score

51 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 16.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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