FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

53.59 – 172.38

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

15 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 44.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 179.4 ±12.1

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 16.16Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 15.07Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 22.36Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 408.8 ±12.4

5053Lakers

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 12.97Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 127.93Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6566Battering Rams

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 31.48Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7491, 7178, 308

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7491, 7178, 308

Auto

14.1 27%

Teleop

25.1 47%

Endgame

14.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5053, 2137, 6566

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5053, 2137, 6566

Auto

55.2 33%

Teleop

84.2 50%

Endgame

30.4 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.83 · Blue 2.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score53.6pts

Blue projected score172.4pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -118.8
Score range: 27–199
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 237 vs event baseline 148.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

179.4Season APEX408.8

14.1Auto55.2

25.1Teleop84.2

14Endgame30.4

11Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	67
teleop	4	108
endgame	6	47
foul	0	0
total	15	222

Result

Final score

15 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 44.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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