FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

30.43 – 158.91

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

70 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 36.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 186.7 ±13.3

10652Mechanical MacGyvers

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 32.23Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3302TurboTrojans

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX -12.03Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4737Atomigators

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 10.23Rank 39Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 331.3 ±11.6

7553OSTC - SWEET BOTS

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 34.54Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5114Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 200Event APEX 115.15Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 9.22Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10652, 3302, 4737

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10652, 3302, 4737

Auto

9.5 31%

Teleop

14.5 47%

Endgame

6.8 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7553, 5114, 830

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7553, 5114, 830

Auto

25.4 16%

Teleop

80.7 51%

Endgame

51.5 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.76 · Blue 2.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score30.4pts

Blue projected score158.9pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -128.5
Score range: 6–183
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 263 vs event baseline 131.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

186.7Season APEX331.3

9.5Auto25.4

14.5Teleop80.7

6.8Endgame51.5

21Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	54
teleop	34	109
endgame	21	30
foul	0	0
total	70	193

Result

Final score

70 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 36.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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